影响你持仓的事件，实时解读。A real-time read on the events that move your holdings.
绑定你的美股持仓。重要事件发生时，几分钟内给出多空判断、市场隐含概率，以及一条可证伪的裁决标准——每条判断公开存档，到期按真实价格裁决。Bind your US-stock holdings. When a market-moving event hits, get a long/short read, the market-implied probability, and one falsifiable success criterion — within minutes. Every call is logged publicly and settled against real prices at expiry.
信息聚合与分析展示 · 非投资建议Information & analysis · not investment advice
不卖信号，留下可被检验的判断。Not signals — judgments you can check.
把事件、逻辑、市场隐含概率和裁决标准摆在台面上，到期用真实价格说话。The event, the reasoning, the market-implied probability and the criterion — all on the table, settled by real prices.
事件 → 持仓的多空判断Event → a long/short read
财报、宏观、政策、突发新闻——映射到你真正持有的标的，给出方向、逻辑与最强反方观点。Earnings, macro, policy, breaking news — mapped to the tickers you actually hold, with direction, reasoning, and the strongest counter-case.
公开命中率与问责Public hit-rate & accountability
每条判断到期自动对照真实收盘价裁决，命中与落空公开可查——一致与诚实，胜过追高。Every call is auto-adjudicated against real closing prices at expiry; hits and misses are public — consistency over hype.
可证伪的裁决标准Falsifiable, time-boxed
「未来 N 个交易日相对大盘 ≥ X%」式标准 + 到期自动裁决，杜绝事后诸葛。Criteria like "≥ X% vs the market over N trading days," settled automatically at expiry — no hindsight.
三步，把噪音变成可检验的判断。Three steps from noise to a testable call.
绑定持仓Add your holdings
手动输入，或用 CSV / 截图一键导入并自动对账。全程只读，不碰交易。Type them in, or import via CSV / screenshot with auto-reconciliation. Read-only — never touches trading.
实时雷达Real-time radar
重要事件触发时，按你的持仓个性化解读，可推送到手机。When a material event fires, get a read personalized to your holdings — pushed to your phone.
到期裁决Adjudicate at expiry
到期对照真实收盘价自动裁决，计入公开命中率。At expiry it's settled against real closing prices and folded into the public hit-rate.
常见问题Common questions
持仓雷达是投资建议吗？Is Position Radar investment advice?
不是。持仓雷达提供信息聚合与分析展示，不构成任何投资建议、要约或招揽。所有决策由你自行作出并自负其责。No. It provides information aggregation and analytical commentary only — not advice, an offer, or a solicitation. All decisions are your own.
它会接触我的交易或资金吗？Does it touch my trades or money?
不会。全程只读——我们只读取你录入或导入的持仓代码用于个性化分析，绝不接触交易或资金。Never. It's read-only — we use the tickers you enter to personalize analysis, and never touch trading or funds.
命中率是怎么算的？How is the hit-rate computed?
每条判断都带可证伪标准，到期由引擎自动对照真实收盘价裁决为兑现/落空/作废，并计入公开命中率。Every call carries a falsifiable criterion; at expiry the engine settles it against real closing prices as hit/miss/void and folds it into the public hit-rate.
每条判断，公开记录、到期裁决。Every call — logged in public, judged at expiry.
我们不卖确定性。我们把判断的逻辑、市场隐含概率与可证伪标准摆出来，到期用真实价格检验。We don't sell certainty. We put the reasoning, the market-implied probability and a falsifiable standard on the table — then let real prices settle it.
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